Teori keputusan

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Teori keputusan (atau teori pemilihan tidak boleh dikelirukan dengan teori pilihan) ialah kajian mengenai pilihan ejen.[1] Teori keputusan dapat dipecah menjadi dua cabang: teori keputusan normatif, yang menganalisis hasil keputusan atau menentukan keputusan optimum yang diberikan kekangan dan andaian, dan teori keputusan deskriptif, yang menganalisis bagaimana agen sebenarnya membuat keputusan yang mereka lakukan.

Rujukan[sunting | sunting sumber]

  1. ^ Steele, Katie and Stefánsson, H. Orri, "Decision Theory", The Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy (Winter 2015 Edition), Edward N. Zalta (ed.), URL =

Bacaan lanjut[sunting | sunting sumber]

  • Akerlof, George A.; Yellen, Janet L. (May 1987). "Rational Models of Irrational Behavior". The American Economic Review. 77 (2): 137–142. JSTOR 1805441.
  • Anand, Paul (1993). Foundations of Rational Choice Under Risk. Oxford: Oxford University Press. ISBN 978-0-19-823303-9. (an overview of the philosophical foundations of key mathematical axioms in subjective expected utility theory – mainly normative)
  • Arthur, W. Brian (May 1991). "Designing Economic Agents that Act like Human Agents: A Behavioral Approach to Bounded Rationality" (PDF). The American Economic Review. 81 (2): 353–9.
  • Berger, James O. (1985). Statistical decision theory and Bayesian Analysis (ed. 2nd). New York: Springer-Verlag. ISBN 978-0-387-96098-2. MR 0804611.
  • Bernardo JM, Smith AF (1994). Bayesian Theory. Wiley. ISBN 978-0-471-92416-6. MR 1274699.
  • Clemen, Robert; Reilly, Terence (2014). Making Hard Decisions with DecisionTools: An Introduction to Decision Analysis (ed. 3rd). Stamford CT: Cengage. ISBN 978-0-538-79757-3. (covers normative decision theory)
  • Donald Davidson, Patrick Suppes and Sidney Siegel (1957). Decision-Making: An Experimental Approach. Stanford University Press.
  • de Finetti, Bruno (September 1989). "Probabilism: A Critical Essay on the Theory of Probability and on the Value of Science". Erkenntnis. 31. (translation of 1931 article)
  • de Finetti, Bruno (1937). "La Prévision: ses lois logiques, ses sources subjectives". Annales de l'Institut Henri Poincaré.
de Finetti, Bruno. "Foresight: its Logical Laws, Its Subjective Sources," (translation of the 1937 article in French) in H. E. Kyburg and H. E. Smokler (eds), Studies in Subjective Probability, New York: Wiley, 1964.